Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000950 0.001021 0.001097 0.001184 0.001280 0.001384 0.001506
2025-12-14 0.000840 0.000936 0.001042 0.001169 0.001320 0.001493 0.001710
2025-12-21 0.000761 0.000867 0.000990 0.001143 0.001331 0.001557 0.001855
2025-12-28 0.000679 0.000787 0.000914 0.001077 0.001284 0.001541 0.001892
2026-01-04 0.000624 0.000733 0.000864 0.001036 0.001260 0.001547 0.001952
2026-01-11 0.000589 0.000701 0.000838 0.001022 0.001266 0.001590 0.002064
2026-01-18 0.000563 0.000678 0.000821 0.001016 0.001284 0.001646 0.002196
2026-01-25 0.000612 0.000752 0.000933 0.001189 0.001553 0.002075 0.002920
2026-02-01 0.000573 0.000710 0.000888 0.001144 0.001515 0.002058 0.002960
2026-02-08 0.000542 0.000677 0.000854 0.001112 0.001492 0.002059 0.003029
2026-02-15 0.000520 0.000655 0.000834 0.001098 0.001494 0.002098 0.003162
2026-02-22 0.000498 0.000630 0.000809 0.001076 0.001482 0.002114 0.003256
2026-03-01 0.000472 0.000603 0.000781 0.001051 0.001472 0.002142 0.003397
2026-03-08 0.000451 0.000582 0.000762 0.001040 0.001482 0.002206 0.003615
2026-03-15 0.000430 0.000558 0.000737 0.001018 0.001472 0.002234 0.003767
2026-03-22 0.000400 0.000522 0.000692 0.000962 0.001402 0.002152 0.003692
2026-03-29 0.000378 0.000496 0.000662 0.000927 0.001365 0.002124 0.003720
2026-04-05 0.000364 0.000480 0.000646 0.000914 0.001365 0.002162 0.003893
2026-04-12 0.000353 0.000469 0.000637 0.000910 0.001377 0.002224 0.004131
2026-04-19 0.000381 0.000516 0.000717 0.001056 0.001670 0.002863 0.005874
2026-04-26 0.000363 0.000493 0.000687 0.001019 0.001623 0.002815 0.005890
2026-05-03 0.000348 0.000474 0.000664 0.000991 0.001594 0.002801 0.005997
2026-05-10 0.000337 0.000462 0.000651 0.000979 0.001593 0.002847 0.006280